Research

usd/chf Technicals

Wednesday, 03 December 2008 14:09:46 GMT

Swiss Franc Technical Outlook

By Jamie Saettele, Senior Currency Strategist

usd/chf Fundamentals

Wednesday, 26 November 2008 16:48:25 GMT

US Dollar/Swiss Franc Exchange Rate Forecast

By Jamie Saettele, Senior Strategist; David Rodriguez, Quantitative Analyst; Ilya Spivak, Currency Analyst

Central Bank Interest

Central Bank Calendar

EUR

JPY

GBP

AUD

CAD

NZD

CHF

Swiss Franc (CHF)

Current Time - Geneva: 11:10 AM | EST: 5:10 AM | GMT: 10:10 AM

Free Interactive Charts


SENTIMENT AND POSITIONING

	SSI Positioning USD/CHF Ratio: -1.85 Trading Forecast: Bullish Full Article

	COT Positioning CHF: Although the 52 week index turned from 0 at the end of October (which warns of a bottom (USDCHF top), positioning is no longer considered extreme and confidence in a low (USDCHF top) is low. Implications: neutral Full Article

FUNDAMENTALS — THIS WEEKS ECONOMIC RELEASES

	Most Recent Economic Releases	Forecast	Previous
	CHF SVME-Purchasing Managers Index (NOV)	45.6	47.0
	CHF Consumer Price Index (MoM) (NOV)	-0.2%	0.5%
	CHF Consumer Price Index (YoY) (NOV)	2.0%	2.6%
	CHF Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (3Q)	0.1%	0.3%(R-)
	CHF Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (3Q)	1.7%	2.6%(R+)

More CHF Economic Releases

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Technicals - Support and Resistance for CHF

	Support and Resistance Levels						Interest Rate Outlook
	Key Levels		Strength	Comments			Timeframe	Target
	R4	1.2429	High	06/18/07 High			Benchmark	1.00
	R3	1.2350	Weak	Psychological Resistance
	R2	1.2299	Medium	Bollinger Band Resistance-			1 Week	0.533
	R1	1.2201	Medium	8/15/07 High			1 Month	0.872
	S1	1.1942	High	20-Day SMA			3 Month	1.240
	S2	1.1834	Medium	11/26 Low			6 Month	1.418
	S3	1.1700	Weak	Psychological Support			9 Month	1.530
	S4	1.1583	High	50-Day SMA			1 Year	1.660

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FROM THE CENTRAL BANK

	Central Bank:	Swiss National Bank
	Current Bias:	Dovish
	Current Interest Rate:	1.00%
	Last Change:	11/20/2008 cut 100bp
	Next Meeting:	12/11/2008 More Dates

Latest Swiss National Bank Interest Rate Outlook

Central Bank Governor: Jean-Pierre Roth

Current Voting Members: Jean-Pierre Roth, Philipp Hildebrand, Thomas Jordan