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aud/usd Technicals

Wednesday, 19 November 2008 15:02:07 GMT

Australian Dollar Technical Outlook

By David Rodriguez, Quantitative Analyst

aud/usd Fundamentals

Saturday, 15 November 2008 00:45:51 GMT

Australian Dollar Looks to G-20 Summit, Risk Trends for Direction Cues

By Ilya Spivak, Currency Analyst
Central Bank Interest
Central Bank Calendar
EURJPYGBPAUDCADNZDCHF  

Australian Dollar (AUD)

ico-clock Current Time - Sydney: 10:25 AM | EST: 6:25 PM | GMT: 11:25 PM


SENTIMENT AND POSITIONING
SSI Positioning

AUD/USD Ratio: 1.67
Signal: Bearish


Full Article
COT Positioning

AUD:  The AUD index is at 0, but a closer look into the COT numbers reveals that the decline is probably not finished. 


Full Article
FUNDAMENTALS — THIS WEEKS ECONOMIC RELEASES
Most Recent Economic Releases Forecast Previous
AUD Retail Sales Ex Inflation(QoQ) (3Q) 0.4% -0.2% (R+)
AUD Reserve Bank of Australia Board Minutes (NOV)
AUD Preliminary BoP Imports s.a. (MoM) (oct) 8.0%
AUD Westpac Leading Index (MoM) (SEP) -0.1%
AUD New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) (OCT) -0.4% (R-)
AUD New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) (OCT) -8.6% (R-)
AUD RBA Assistant Governor Edey Gives Speech in Sydney
AUD Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Stevens Speaks in Melbourne


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Technicals - Support and Resistance for AUD
Support and Resistance Levels Interest Rate Outlook
Key Levels Strength Comments Timeframe Target
R4 0.7558 High 61.8% Fibo 0.8516 - 0.6013 Benchmark 5.25
R3 0.7046 Medium Bollinger Band Resistance
R2 0.7000 High Psychological Resistance 1 Week 5.750
R1 0.6613 Medium 20-Day SMA 1 Month 5.713
S1 0.6337 High 10/29 Low 3 Month 5.588
S2 0.6250 Weak Psychological Support 6 Month 5.513
S3 0.6180 Medium Bollinger Band Support 9 Month 5.325
S4 0.6100 Weak Psychological Support 1 Year 5.263
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FROM THE CENTRAL BANK
  Central Bank: Reserve Bank of Australia
  Current Bias: Neutral
  Current Interest Rate: 5.25%
  Last Change: 11/04/08 cut 75bp
  Next Meeting: 12/02/2008  More Dates
Latest RBA Interest Rate Outlook
 
Central Bank Governor: Glenn Stevens

Current Voting Members: Glenn Stevens, Ric
Battellino, Ken Henry, John Akehurst, Jillian Broadbent, Roger Corbett, Graham Kraehe, Donald McGauchie, Warwick McKibbin